03-07-2025

U.S.-Vietnam Tariff Deal Reshapes Asia Trade

Date: 03-07-2025
Sources: cbsnews.com: 1 | cnbc.com: 2 | nytimes.com: 1 | scmp.com: 1
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Source: cbsnews.com

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Summary

The United States and Vietnam announced a preliminary trade deal that sets a 20% U.S. tariff on Vietnamese imports and a 40% duty on transshipped goods, while Vietnam would drop tariffs on U.S. products to zero. Framed as part of a broader U.S. push to curb Chinese supply-chain circumvention, the accord signals a sustained era of elevated, more targeted tariffs and potential copycat “framework” deals with other emerging markets. Markets reacted mixed: Vietnam’s equities rose even as the dong hit a record low, and regional supply chains—particularly in tech—face new compliance and cost uncertainties depending on how transshipment and Chinese-content thresholds are enforced. Businesses in Vietnam, including Chinese manufacturers, view the 20% rate as manageable versus the previously floated 46%, but analysts warn spillovers for EM Asia and a tougher path for Europe in securing favorable terms under Washington’s tariff strategy.

Key Points

  • Deal sets 20% U.S. tariff on Vietnamese imports, 40% on transshipments; Vietnam to zero tariffs on U.S. goods.
  • Move targets Chinese supply-chain circumvention and tightens scrutiny of Chinese content and investment in Southeast Asia.
  • Markets mixed: Vietnam stocks up, dong at record low; tech-heavy Asian indices showed varied gains.
  • Businesses in Vietnam see tariffs as manageable, but compliance and enforcement definitions could disrupt production.
  • Analysts expect more rough bilateral deals and elevated tariffs, with EM Asia and Europe facing heightened risk.

Articles in this Cluster

Trump announces U.S. has reached trade deal with Vietnam - CBS News

President Trump announced the U.S. has reached a trade deal “framework” with Vietnam just before a July 9 tariff deadline. He said the U.S. will impose 20% tariffs on Vietnamese imports and 40% on any transshipping, while claiming Vietnam will open its market to U.S. goods at zero tariffs. Details are unspecified and Vietnam has not confirmed the agreement. The move follows Trump’s broader tariff plan—paused after market concerns—that would add at least a 10% tax on all imports, with higher rates for about 90 countries, aimed at reducing trade deficits. He signaled he won’t extend the pause beyond July 9.
Entities: Donald Trump, United States, Vietnam, tariffs, trade deal frameworkTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Asia stock markets today: live updates

Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed. Vietnam’s benchmark index hit its highest level since April 2022 (+0.3%) after President Trump announced a U.S.-Vietnam trade deal imposing a 20% U.S. tariff on Vietnamese imports while granting the U.S. zero tariffs into Vietnam; a 40% tariff would apply to transshipped goods. Despite the equity rally, the Vietnamese dong fell to a record low around 26,195 per dollar, which analysts said could partly offset tariff impacts. Taiwan’s market jumped to its highest since March, led by tech and consumer cyclicals, with notable gains in semiconductor and PCB names. Elsewhere, Japan’s Nikkei and Topix edged lower, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slipped, mainland China’s CSI 300 rose slightly, South Korea’s Kospi and Kosdaq gained, and Australia’s ASX 200 inched up. U.S. futures were little changed ahead of the June jobs report, after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs while the Dow was marginally lower.
Entities: Vietnam, U.S.-Vietnam trade deal, Donald Trump, Vietnamese dong, TaiwanTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

What the U.S.-Vietnam trade deal tells us about the future of tariffs

The U.S. struck a limited trade deal with Vietnam days before broader U.S. “reciprocal” tariffs return. Key terms: a 20% U.S. duty on Vietnamese imports (down from the 46% rate set in April), no Vietnamese tariffs on U.S. goods, and a 40% duty on goods transshipped through Vietnam from third countries (aimed at curbing China-related circumvention). Analysts say this signals tariffs are likely to remain elevated and that more “rough” framework deals with emerging markets could follow, potentially including India, though agriculture could complicate talks. Citi warns EM Asia faces greater risk, with Thailand and Malaysia notably exposed, and spillovers for countries with production in Vietnam (e.g., Korea). Europe may find it harder to secure favorable terms; a tariff-free outcome looks unlikely, with a basic political deal and a possible 10% tariff the most realistic path amid U.S.-EU tensions and threats of higher mutual tariffs.
Entities: United States, Vietnam, reciprocal tariffs, China, CitiTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: analyze

Trump Wants the World to Squeeze Out China. He’s Starting With Vietnam. - The New York Times

The U.S. and Vietnam announced a preliminary trade deal that imposes a 20% tariff on Vietnamese exports to the U.S. and a 40% tariff on “transshipments” — goods originating elsewhere, notably China, but routed through Vietnam. The move is part of the Trump administration’s broader push to force Southeast Asian countries to reduce Chinese content in their supply chains, screen Chinese investment, and consider export controls on sensitive tech. While the deal aims to curb Chinese tariff evasion, its impact hinges on how “transshipment” and Chinese content thresholds are defined and enforced. Businesses fear strict rules could disrupt production, increase compliance burdens, and even prompt a shift back to China if costs rise. Southeast Asian governments, wary of Chinese retaliation and economic ties, are tightening export scrutiny but face geopolitical and economic risks as Washington seeks “strategic decoupling” from China.
Entities: United States, Vietnam, China, Trump administration, transshipmentTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Chinese firms in Vietnam upbeat over US tariff deal: ‘better than expected’ | South China Morning Post

- The US and Vietnam reached a trade deal setting a 20% tariff on Vietnamese imports to the US, with a 40% duty on goods deemed transshipped. - The outcome is “better than expected” for Chinese manufacturers operating in Vietnam, who now largely plan to stay, viewing the tariff as manageable. - The deal ends three months of uncertainty after an initially signaled 46% “reciprocal” tariff was paused for negotiations. - Vietnam will cut tariffs on US goods to zero under the agreement. - The US continues broader trade talks with multiple countries; with China, it has temporary arrangements on export controls and tariff rollbacks but no permanent deal yet.
Entities: United States, Vietnam, Chinese manufacturers, US-Vietnam trade deal, 20% tariff on Vietnamese importsTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform