11-04-2025

Tariff Turmoil Roils Global Markets

Date: 11-04-2025
Sources: cnbc.com: 2 | nytimes.com: 1 | scmp.com: 1 | theguardian.com: 1
Image for cluster 10
Image Prompt:

A dynamic global markets scene showing a turbulent trading day: red and green stock tickers and candlestick charts flashing volatility, U.S. Treasury yield curve spiking on a screen, the dollar symbol fading, and bond sell-off graphics. In the foreground, a split view of major indices: FTSE 100 rising on positive U.K. GDP headlines while DAX and CAC dip, defensive sector icons (utilities, healthcare) in cool tones outperforming. Subtle motifs of shipping containers and tariff symbols to suggest trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with concern over overseas assets and long-dated bonds. A Bank of England emblem subtly present, hinting

Summary

Escalating U.S.-China tariff measures sparked broad market volatility, pressuring equities, bonds, and currencies while reshaping growth and policy expectations. European stocks finished mixed as defensive sectors outperformed and the euro strengthened, with the FTSE 100 buoyed by surprisingly strong U.K. GDP data. In the U.S., Treasury yields surged on foreign selling and position unwinds, the dollar weakened alongside risk assets, and investors fretted about deficits and diminished demand for long-dated bonds. China’s tariff retaliation intensified concerns over global trade, with Chinese economists warning of heightened risks to China’s overseas assets, including U.S. Treasuries. Despite resilient U.K. data, uncertainty over prospective U.S. tariffs and the broader trade shock raised odds of a Bank of England rate cut, while corporate and policy responses—such as localization of drug manufacturing and potential U.K. industrial interventions—signaled efforts to mitigate supply and financial risk.

Key Points

  • U.S.-China tariff escalation triggered sell-offs in equities and Treasuries, pushing U.S. yields sharply higher and the dollar lower.
  • European markets were volatile; FTSE 100 rose on strong U.K. GDP, while DAX and CAC fell as defensives outperformed.
  • China’s retaliation raised fears over financial escalation, with warnings about the safety of China’s U.S. asset holdings.
  • Bond market stress reflected foreign selling and leverage unwinds, raising concerns about U.S. borrowing costs amid large deficits.
  • Despite robust U.K. growth, trade risks increased the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut and spurred industry-specific policy moves.

Articles in this Cluster

European markets: stocks, news, data and earningsStock Chart Icon

European stocks ended slightly lower after a volatile week driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions. The Stoxx 600 slipped 0.1% as industrials and energy lagged, while defensive sectors like utilities rose. The FTSE 100 gained 0.64% on stronger-than-expected U.K. GDP growth (+0.5% in February), but Germany’s DAX fell 0.9% and France’s CAC 40 dropped 0.3%. The euro rallied to its highest since February 2022. Trade fears intensified as the U.S. lifted tariffs on Chinese imports to a cumulative 145%, and China retaliated with 125% tariffs on U.S. goods. An EU official warned the U.S. would face a larger GDP hit than Europe, with potential deeper global damage if tariffs persist. Capital Economics said a worst-case tariff scenario could trim global GDP by about 1%, akin to the euro-zone crisis impact. U.S. stocks opened lower. Notable corporate move: Novartis rose after pledging $23 billion to expand U.S. manufacturing and R&D, aiming to localize production of key medicines amid tariff risks.
Entities: Stoxx 600, FTSE 100, DAX, CAC 40, European UnionTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

UK GDP February 2025

The U.K. economy grew 0.5% month-on-month in February 2025, far above the 0.1% expected, driven by a 0.3% rise in services and rebounds in production (+1.5%) and construction (+0.4%). The pound rose 0.6% on the news. January’s GDP was revised to flat from a 0.1% decline. Despite the strong print, uncertainty over potential 10% U.S. tariffs on U.K. exports and broader instability may weigh on the outlook and increase the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut in May. The OBR recently halved its 2025 growth forecast to 1%.
Entities: U.K. economy, GDP, Bank of England, British pound, services sectorTone: analyticalSentiment: positiveIntent: inform

Bond Market is Upended by Trump’s Tariffs - The New York Times

U.S. Treasury markets saw unusually sharp turmoil after President Trump’s chaotic tariff rollout, with the 10-year yield jumping from under 4% to about 4.5% and the 30-year rising markedly, signaling falling bond prices and investor unease. Analysts cite foreign selling—particularly from Asia—leveraged position unwinds, and reduced demand at the long end. The dollar also fell alongside bonds and stocks, an uncommon risk-off pattern, raising concerns about global confidence in U.S. assets. The Fed acknowledged volatility but hasn’t intervened, balancing inflation risks from tariffs against market stability. Investors fear continued foreign selling could push yields—and borrowing costs—higher amid large U.S. deficits, while alternatives like German bunds gain appeal.
Entities: U.S. Treasury market, Donald Trump, tariffs, 10-year Treasury yield, 30-year Treasury yieldTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: inform

Economist says China’s overseas assets at risk as trade war hits boiling point | South China Morning Post

Former Chinese central bank adviser Yu Yongding warns that China’s overseas assets—especially US Treasuries—are increasingly vulnerable as the US-China trade war intensifies, with US tariffs effectively reaching 156%. Citing the US “weaponisation” of the dollar and Western seizures of Russian assets as precedents, Yu urges Beijing to prepare for potential financial escalation and reduce exposure to US-held assets.
Entities: Yu Yongding, China, United States, US Treasuries, US-China trade warTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: warn

US stocks slide on opening as China raises tariffs to 125% – business live | Tariffs | The Guardian

China escalated its trade war response by raising tariffs on US goods to 125%, triggering fresh market volatility. US stocks opened lower after an initial rally tied to President Trump’s temporary tariff retreat, while a sell-off in US Treasuries deepened, pushing 10-year yields to around 4.4% and the dollar to a three-year low. European markets swung sharply: early gains reversed after Beijing’s announcement, leaving most major indexes down except the FTSE 100. JP Morgan boosted loan-loss reserves by $973m amid a worsening outlook, and BlackRock’s Larry Fink warned the US is “very close, if not in a recession,” calling for a US-China trade agreement. In the UK, Parliament will be recalled to consider nationalising British Steel as US tariffs on steel loom.
Entities: China, United States, US tariffs, US stocks, US TreasuriesTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: inform