04-07-2025

US-Vietnam Tariff Deal Fuels Uncertainty, Targets China

Date: 04-07-2025
Sources: cbsnews.com: 1 | cnbc.com: 2 | scmp.com: 2
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Source: cbsnews.com

Image content: The image shows a person speaking at a podium holding a large chart titled “Reciprocal Tariffs.” The chart lists countries alongside percentages for tariffs charged to the U.S. and proposed U.S. reciprocal tariffs.

Summary

The United States announced a tentative trade pact with Vietnam that lowers a threatened blanket tariff to a 20% duty on Vietnamese imports while imposing a 40% tariff on goods deemed transshipped through Vietnam, a clear bid to curb China-linked rerouting. While markets cheered broader economic resilience, the deal’s sparse details—especially on rules of origin—leave businesses uncertain about compliance, costs, and supply-chain configurations across Asia. Vietnam has not confirmed the specifics, enforcement would hinge on origin certification, and analysts see the agreement as a potential template for future U.S. deals that pressure China. The move suggests elevated tariff baselines could persist even as trade flows adjust, with most China-affiliated exporters in Vietnam expected to stay but brace for tighter scrutiny.

Key Points

  • US announces 20% tariff on Vietnamese imports and 40% on transshipped goods, aiming to deter China-related rerouting.
  • Lack of clear rules-of-origin definitions raises compliance and supply-chain uncertainty across Asia.
  • Vietnam’s confirmation and enforcement mechanisms remain unclear, placing burden on origin certification.
  • Analysts view the pact as a template for future U.S. agreements and a sign tariffs may remain elevated.
  • Markets rallied on strong U.S. jobs data even as trade tensions introduce new risks.

Articles in this Cluster

Trump announces U.S. has reached trade deal with Vietnam - CBS News

President Trump announced a tentative trade deal with Vietnam ahead of a July 9 deadline for reinstating broad U.S. tariffs. He said the U.S. will impose 20% tariffs on Vietnamese imports and 40% on transshipped goods, while Vietnam would open its market to U.S. products at zero tariffs. Details remain unclear and Vietnam has not confirmed the agreement. The move follows Trump’s earlier plan for sweeping tariffs, briefly paused after market concerns, which he says aim to reduce U.S. trade deficits.
Entities: Donald Trump, United States, Vietnam, U.S. tariffs, trade dealTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

CNBC Daily Open: Rely on official U.S. jobs report, but consider the ADP

The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations, and unemployment fell to 4.1%. This contrasts with ADP’s report showing a 33,000 drop in private jobs, a divergence partly explained by strong government hiring (+73,000) that ADP doesn’t capture, highlighting a split between public/health/education sectors and the rest of the labor market. U.S. stocks hit new records (S&P 500, Nasdaq), the 10-year Treasury yield rose, and Europe’s Stoxx 600 gained. Apple’s iPhone sales in China grew 8% year over year in Q2, the first increase there in two years. The House passed President Trump’s narrow 218-214 tax-and-spending bill; amendments eased pressure on European renewables. A new U.S.-Vietnam trade deal set a 20% duty on Vietnamese imports (down from 46%), with no tariffs on U.S. exports to Vietnam—seen as a sign tariffs may trend higher overall, not lower.
Entities: U.S. jobs report, ADP employment report, S&P 500, 10-year Treasury yield, Apple iPhone sales in ChinaTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Trump’s Vietnam pact targets China, raises more questions than answers

- Trump announced a U.S.-Vietnam trade pact imposing a 20% tariff on Vietnamese goods and a 40% tariff on transshipped goods originating elsewhere, targeting Chinese rerouting through Vietnam. - Economists say scant details create major uncertainty: defining “made in Vietnam” vs. transshipment and setting rules-of-origin thresholds will be difficult and could either minimize impact or cause significant disruption if Chinese content is broadly penalized. - Vietnam’s U.S. trade surplus has surged as Chinese firms shifted production there; enforcing targeted levies would largely fall to Hanoi via origin certification. - The deal may serve as a template for other U.S. agreements, likely including anti-transshipment measures, U.S. purchase commitments, and provisions pressuring China, similar to elements seen in the recent U.S.-U.K. pact. - China criticized the move but is likely to wait for clarity before responding, while monitoring how other countries negotiate with Washington. - Analysts suggest the pact implies ultimate tariffs on Chinese goods will not drop below 40%, to avoid incentivizing a shift back to direct production in China.
Entities: United States, Vietnam, China, Donald Trump, tariffsTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Chinese reaction to US-Vietnam trade deal, Philippines’ tourism woes: SCMP’s 7 highlights | South China Morning Post

- US-Vietnam trade deal: Washington and Hanoi agreed to cut US tariffs to 20%, easing months of uncertainty. Analysts say most Chinese exporters operating in Vietnam will stay, seeing the outcome as better than expected. - Beijing military parade: An autumn parade is expected to showcase hardware and history to send calibrated signals, with Taiwan not the central focus but implicit messaging anticipated. - China-Airbus moves: China is close to a major Airbus purchase, potentially 100–200 aircraft, further sidelining Boeing even as some Chinese carriers still depend on its jets.
Entities: United States, Vietnam, China, Beijing, AirbusTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Why 1 clause in the US-Vietnam trade deal is sparking concern across Asia | South China Morning Post

The new US-Vietnam trade deal sets a 20% tariff on Vietnamese goods but adds a 40% tariff on goods deemed “transshipped” through Vietnam, aiming to curb tariff evasion via third countries. While Vietnamese exporters welcomed the lower base tariff versus earlier threats, analysts warn the transshipment clause is vague and could be widely applied, creating compliance uncertainty, raising costs, and affecting supply chains across Asia—especially where components or final assembly span multiple countries. The measure could deter firms from routing China-linked production through Vietnam, prompt stricter origin verification, and potentially spill over to other regional trade relationships.
Entities: United States, Vietnam, South China Morning Post, transshipment clause, tariff evasionTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform