20-06-2025

China's Consumption and Global Economic Shifts

Date: 20-06-2025
Sources: cnbc.com: 2 | economist.com: 1 | nytimes.com: 1
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Source: economist.com

Image content: The image depicts three heavily armed men riding on a military vehicle. The scene appears to be set in a war-torn or conflict-ridden area, with the men dressed in military attire and holding guns, conveying a sense of tension and danger. A building labeled "Al Borg Medical Laboratories" is visible in the background.

Summary

The cluster of news highlights China's efforts to boost its consumption through shopping events and expansion into new regions, while Japan grapples with high inflation rates driven by significant increases in rice prices. Chinese businesses are also navigating new opportunities in global trade amidst rising protectionism.

Key Points

  • China's 618 shopping festival saw a 15.2% increase in gross merchandise value, driven by government incentives and strong demand in beauty and pet care products.
  • Japan's core inflation rate rose to 3.7% driven by a significant jump in rice prices, marking the 38th month above the Bank of Japan's target.
  • China is strengthening its ties with Africa and Brazil amidst escalating global trade tensions, with Chinese e-commerce and food delivery companies making inroads in these regions.

Articles in this Cluster

Is China going through a consumption revival? 618 festival suggests so

China's 618 shopping festival saw a 15.2% surge in gross merchandise value to an estimated 855.6 billion yuan ($119 billion), suggesting a pickup in consumption. Sales were boosted by government trade-in subsidies for consumer electronics and strong demand for beauty and pet care products. Alibaba's Taobao and Tmall reported strong sales in categories eligible for subsidies, while JD.com saw a record number of shoppers and over 2.2 billion orders. However, sales slowed towards the end of the festival as some provincial governments ran out of funds for subsidies. Experts warn that prolonged shopping festivals may reduce consumption incentives and that more innovative measures are needed to boost domestic consumption.

Rice prices in Japan more than double in May — core inflation jumps to highest levels since 2023

Japan's core inflation rate rose to 3.7% in May, the highest level since January 2023, driven by a 101.7% year-over-year increase in rice prices, the largest jump in over half a century. Headline inflation was 3.5%, marking the 38th consecutive month above the Bank of Japan's 2% target. The "core-core" inflation rate, which excludes fresh food and energy prices, increased to 3.3% from 3% in April. Experts note that rice prices significantly impact inflation, and the government's measures to reduce rice prices could boost household spending. The Bank of Japan maintained interest rates at 0.5% and is expected to raise rates once it is more confident that underlying inflation will approach 2%.

China is trying to win over Africa in the global trade war

China is attempting to strengthen its ties with Africa amidst the global trade war, particularly as the US imposes tariffs on African goods while China offers zero duties, thus gaining an advantage and increasing its influence on the continent as seen in places like Uganda where Chinese malls are becoming increasingly popular among the local middle class.

Chinese Companies Set Their Sights on Brazil - The New York Times

Chinese companies are expanding into Brazil due to intense domestic competition and escalating trade tensions with the US and Europe. Brazil, with a population of over 200 million, is a coveted market for Chinese e-commerce and delivery companies. Meituan, China's largest food delivery company, plans to invest $1 billion in Brazil, while Mixue, a Chinese tea and dessert company, will hire thousands there. Other Chinese companies, such as Temu and Shein, have already made inroads in Brazil. The expansion is driven by China's stagnant consumer economy and increased regulatory scrutiny in other major markets. However, Chinese companies may face scrutiny from Brazilian regulators and challenges in attracting customers and hiring local workers.