09-07-2025

Tariff Delays, Global Pushback, and Realignment

Date: 09-07-2025
Sources: bbc.com: 1 | cnbc.com: 1 | edition.cnn.com: 2 | scmp.com: 1
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Source: scmp.com

Image content: The image shows a large outdoor display with giant letters spelling “BRICS,” set against a marina and a prominent mountain in the background. A line of suited dignitaries stands in front of the sign holding hands, with text on the platform reading “BRICS Brasil 2025.”

Summary

The White House postponed its sweeping “reciprocal” tariffs to August 1, signaling difficulties translating aggressive rhetoric into concrete trade deals and prompting hardened responses from key partners. While markets largely interpret the delay as negotiating theater, the U.S. issued tariff letters to numerous countries—including 25% levies on Japan and South Korea and looming broad measures on BRICS—escalating uncertainty. Japan and South Korea, already facing weak growth, warn of economic fallout and resist concessions without relief on auto duties, while the EU inches toward a limited framework that could still unravel. Globally, trade patterns are shifting as countries deepen ties with each other to hedge against U.S. barriers—exemplified by Brazil and India’s pledge to triple trade—while currency and inflation dynamics complicate the U.S. calculus. With legal risks, a softer dollar, and few finalized agreements, the risk of a broader, more fragmented trade landscape is rising.

Key Points

  • Tariff start date shifted to Aug. 1 as negotiations stall, despite claims of many imminent deals.
  • U.S. targets Japan and South Korea with new 25% tariffs, intensifying pressure on autos and metals amid weakening growth in both economies.
  • Talks with the EU edge toward a limited framework on 10% tariffs and sector carve-outs, but retaliation remains on the table.
  • Trump signals sweeping actions against BRICS, including broad 10% tariffs and steep sector levies, raising market and currency risks.
  • Global partners increasingly trade around the U.S., exemplified by Brazil–India plans to triple flows, as the effective U.S. tariff rate surges.

Articles in this Cluster

Trump delays tariffs as the rest of the world plays hardballBritish Broadcasting CorporationBritish Broadcasting Corporation

The White House delayed its planned “reciprocal” tariffs from early July to 1 August, signaling difficulties in securing trade deals despite promises of “90 deals in 90 days.” Markets remain calm on expectations of rolling delays (“TACO”), but the letters sent to trading partners admit limited progress and further strain ties with countries like Japan and South Korea. Global responses are hardening: Japan hints at leveraging its vast U.S. debt holdings, and a court challenge could still deem the tariffs illegal. Meanwhile, the dollar has fallen about 10% this year—contrary to administration expectations—compounding inflation risks. Trade patterns are shifting: U.S.-bound Chinese exports are down 9.7%, but China’s exports to other regions are up, while U.S. tariff revenues hit records and the effective U.S. tariff rate has climbed to roughly 15% from a historical 2–4%. As the U.S. raises barriers, other countries are trading more with each other, increasing the risk of future market turbulence.
Entities: White House, United States, Japan, South Korea, ChinaTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: inform

Trump tariffs portend more economic troubles for South Korea and JapanStock Chart IconStock Chart Icon

The U.S. announced 25% tariffs on imports from Japan and South Korea starting Aug. 1, intensifying existing duties on autos (25%) and steel/aluminum (50%). Both export-reliant economies are already weakening: their Q1 GDPs contracted, Japan risks a technical recession, and South Korea’s central bank cut its 2025 growth outlook to 0.8%, citing U.S. tariffs. Japan’s government seeks a mutually beneficial deal but rejects any agreement without removing auto tariffs; Oxford Economics estimates the new measures could shave 0.1 percentage point off Japan’s GDP by end-2026, with growth near stall speed into 2026. The U.S. remains a critical market for both countries’ autos and, for Korea, steel. Trump indicated potential tariff adjustments if Japan and Korea open their markets more to U.S. goods. Markets are largely calm, viewing the letters as extending negotiations and leaving room for a softened outcome.
Entities: United States, Japan, South Korea, Donald Trump, Oxford EconomicsTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: inform

Trump promised 200 deals by now. He’s gotten 3, and 1 more is getting very close | CNN BusinessClose icon

President Trump claimed in April he’d completed trade deals with 200 countries, but to date has announced three (China, the UK, Vietnam). Facing a self-imposed July 9 deadline for higher “reciprocal” tariffs, the White House extended it to August 1 to allow more talks, chiefly with the European Union. US–EU negotiators are close to a framework that would set 10% tariffs and outline broader talks, with potential sector-specific adjustments (autos, steel) and EU pledges to boost purchases of US energy and defense goods. The EU is preparing retaliatory measures if no deal is reached. Meanwhile, Trump has begun issuing tariff letters, including 25% levies on Japan and South Korea, to gain leverage. Other prospective deals have stalled: India has hardened its stance, South Korea is hung up on auto tariffs, and Japan has grown more pessimistic. Trump's team, led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, argues more time is needed as several negotiations near final stages.
Entities: Donald Trump, European Union, United States, tariffs, trade dealsTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Trump promises more tariff letters and warns BRICS of what’s coming | CNN BusinessClose icon

President Trump said at least seven more countries will receive tariff letters Wednesday, with up to 15–20 notices going out over two days, and reaffirmed that new tariffs take effect August 1 with no extensions. He plans a 10% tariff on imports from BRICS countries to counter perceived threats to the US dollar, plus a 50% tariff on copper and a 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, adding to market uncertainty. Letters have already gone to 14 nations; only the UK and Vietnam have preliminary deals, and China agreed to a truce until August 12. Despite ongoing talks, Trump said the EU will also get a tariff letter. He framed BRICS-focused measures as protection against efforts to undermine the dollar’s reserve status.
Entities: Donald Trump, BRICS, US dollar, tariffs, ChinaTone: urgentSentiment: negativeIntent: inform

In show of unity against Trump, Brazil and India vow to triple trade flows | South China Morning Post

Amid renewed tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump against BRICS members, Brazil and India showcased unity by pledging to triple their bilateral trade during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s state visit to Brasilia. The two countries signed multiple agreements and outlined plans to deepen India’s engagement with Mercosur. Trump labeled the U.S. dollar the “king,” accused BRICS of undermining it, and warned of a 10% charge on BRICS countries. While BRICS has discussed increasing intra-bloc trade and alternative payment systems, de-dollarisation was not prioritized in this year’s agenda or leaders’ statement. The expanded BRICS now includes South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, and the UAE; the bloc has not formally responded to Trump’s rhetoric.
Entities: Brazil, India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, U.S. President Donald Trump, BRICSTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform