23-05-2025

House Tax Bill Spurs Market Jitters

Date: 23-05-2025
Sources: bbc.com: 1 | cnbc.com: 4 | economist.com: 1 | edition.cnn.com: 1 | nytimes.com: 1
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Source: edition.cnn.com

Image content: The image shows a man in a suit speaking while gesturing with his hands, with another suited person standing behind him. Overlaid text reads: “Analysis — What does Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’ mean for Americans?” indicating a political discussion headline.

Summary

A narrowly passed House bill backing President Trump’s tax and spending agenda set off a wave of market and policy reactions. The package extends 2017 tax cuts, boosts defense, funds mass deportations, and temporarily eliminates taxes on overtime and tips, while cutting Medicaid and SNAP—measures projected to swell deficits and national debt. Bond yields climbed to multi-year highs as investors fretted over larger fiscal gaps and inflation risk, with Moody’s prior downgrade adding pressure. Markets were mixed globally: U.S. equities softened while Asia-Pacific stocks largely rose on regional data and central bank speculation. Debate intensified over the bill’s long-term fiscal prudence, with calls for the Senate to block it, and personal finance advice focused on hedging against potentially higher future tax rates and interest costs.

Key Points

  • House passes Trump-backed tax and spending bill by 215-214, extending tax cuts and raising defense outlays while cutting safety-net programs.
  • Deficit and debt projections surge, contributing to rising Treasury yields and renewed focus on U.S. credit risk.
  • U.S. stocks slipped and sector moves diverged; global markets were mixed as Asia-Pacific indexes largely gained on inflation data.
  • Policy debate escalates, with warnings of bond-market backlash and Senate resistance to the bill’s fiscal risks.
  • Financial planners advise diversifying tax exposure (Roth/traditional, HSAs, 529s) to hedge against higher future rates.

Articles in this Cluster

US House passes Trump's 'big, beautiful' tax and spending billBritish Broadcasting CorporationBritish Broadcasting Corporation

The US House narrowly passed a multi-trillion dollar tax and spending bill backed by President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson, 215-214. The measure extends 2017 Trump-era tax cuts, boosts defense funding, finances mass deportations, and temporarily eliminates taxes on overtime and tips. It also makes significant cuts to Medicaid and SNAP, drawing strong Democratic opposition over potential harm to low-income, elderly, and disabled Americans. The bill is projected to add $5.2 trillion to the national debt and raise next year’s deficit by about $600 billion, factors tied to a recent Moody’s downgrade. The Senate will now consider the bill and may alter it, especially to avoid automatic Medicare cuts triggered by the added debt. The vote sets up a major political fight ahead of the midterms.
Entities: US House of Representatives, Donald Trump, Mike Johnson, 2017 Trump-era tax cuts, MedicaidTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Asia-Pacific markets live: Japan CPI, Singapore CPI, South Korea PPI

Asia-Pacific stocks mostly rose Friday as investors digested regional data and U.S.-China signals. Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 1.04% and Topix 0.89% after core inflation accelerated to 3.5% in April, the highest since January 2023, reinforcing focus on BOJ policy. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.36% while PPI growth slowed to 0.9% y/y; Kosdaq fell 0.34%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added 0.33%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s CSI 300 were flat. Singapore’s core inflation rose 0.7% y/y, above forecasts. The U.S. and China agreed to keep communication channels open, while chances of a U.S.-Japan trade deal by mid-June slipped to 55% amid auto tariff friction. In India, SEBI is exploring more secondary listings via depository receipts and easing FPI access. U.S. futures were little changed after a mixed close, with rising Treasury yields and deficit concerns in focus; Citi warned of weaker H2 2025 growth as tariff effects bite.
Entities: Nikkei 225, Bank of Japan, South Korea PPI, Singapore core inflation, U.S.-China relationsTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

CNBC Daily Open: Trump's tax bill might only have short-term benefits

U.S. markets were mostly flat as the House passed President Trump’s tax bill, which is expected to boost growth short term through tax cuts and higher defense spending but likely widen the fiscal deficit over time. Treasury yields eased from a spike yet remain elevated, signaling investor caution about U.S. debt. The Supreme Court indicated Federal Reserve board members likely have protection from presidential dismissal, reducing policy-risk fears. Anthropic launched Claude 4 AI models, claiming top performance and near full workday autonomy. A segment of the equity market is flashing caution on the economic outlook. Separately, India’s rise as an alternative electronics manufacturing hub faces long lead times and infrastructure hurdles despite U.S. tariffs on China.
Entities: U.S. markets, House of Representatives, President Donald Trump, tax bill, U.S. Treasury yieldsTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Friday’s big stock stories: What’s likely to move the market

Stocks @ Night highlights: The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.53%, its highest since Feb. 12, amid deficit concerns after the House passed Trump’s tax and spending bill; 2-year at 3.99%, 20-year at 5.05%. Fed’s Austan Goolsbee appears on Squawk Box Friday. Utilities slumped more than 3% over two days, with declines broad except Vistra and Constellation. Quantum computing names surged: IonQ +36% (up 67% in May), Rigetti +26% (up 56% in May), D-Wave +24% (up 175% in May), Quantum Computing +14.5% (up ~80% in May), helped by bullish Barron’s remarks from IonQ’s CEO. Amazon gained ~1% after Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square disclosed a new stake; shares are up 17% in a month but 16% below the 52-week high. Airline stocks rallied in May despite operational issues: Delta +16.5%, Southwest +11.6%, United +10.4%, JetBlue +13%, Alaska +13%, though many remain well below earlier highs. Advance Auto Parts jumped 57% on earnings and short covering; AutoZone sits 1.5% below its April high, O’Reilly is 6% off its April peak.
Entities: 10-year Treasury yield, U.S. House of Representatives, Trump’s tax and spending bill, Federal Reserve, Austan GoolsbeeTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Stock market today: Live updates

U.S. stock futures slipped Friday as investors weighed rising Treasury yields and fiscal concerns. The S&P 500 and Dow logged a third straight decline, while the Nasdaq eked out a 0.3% gain. Long-term rates jumped after the House passed President Trump’s tax bill, with the 30-year yield hitting 5.16% and the 10-year breaching 4.6%, amid worries about larger deficits and inflation risk. Moody’s recent U.S. credit downgrade to Aa1 added pressure. For the week, the S&P 500 is down about 2%, the Dow 1.9%, and the Nasdaq 1.5%. The Supreme Court signaled Fed board members likely have special protection from presidential firing. After hours, Ross Stores fell on guidance withdrawal and tariff concerns, while Autodesk and Intuit rose on strong outlooks. Investors await building permits and new home sales data, with markets closed Monday for Memorial Day.
Entities: S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, U.S. Treasury yields, President Trump’s tax billTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: inform

The Senate should vote down Donald Trump’s reckless tax cuts

The Economist urges the Senate to reject President Trump’s budget bill, arguing it irresponsibly cuts taxes despite already large peacetime deficits and rising borrowing costs. With the U.S. running a $2 trillion deficit (6.9% of GDP) absent a crisis and losing its last AAA rating from Moody’s, the bill heightens fiscal risk and has already pushed 30-year Treasury yields to their highest since 2007. Passing it, the piece warns, risks a damaging bond-market backlash; restraint is needed to avoid a fiscal collision.
Entities: United States Senate, Donald Trump, The Economist, Moody's, 30-year Treasury yieldsTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: persuade

Video: What does Trump’s ‘Big, Beautiful Bill’ mean for Americans? | CNN Politics

CNN’s Phil Mattingly explains that President Trump’s “Big, Beautiful Bill” is a sweeping package of tax cuts and spending reductions that House Republicans narrowly passed after intense negotiations. The bill is projected by the Congressional Budget Office to add about $3.8 trillion to the national debt. It delivers major elements of Trump’s agenda but faces hurdles in the Senate, amid GOP divisions and criticism over deficit impacts and cuts to agencies like Health and Human Services. The segment situates the bill within broader administration moves on foreign policy and health, highlighting the political maneuvering required to advance it.
Entities: Donald Trump, Phil Mattingly, House Republicans, Senate, Congressional Budget OfficeTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Tax Cuts Now Could Lead to Rising Rates Later. Here’s How to Protect Yourself. - The New York Times

The article argues that, amid uncertainty over future tax rates and growing federal deficits that could push interest rates higher, individuals should “diversify tax risk” much like they diversify investments. Rather than betting on one future tax scenario, use a mix of tax-sheltered accounts to hedge outcomes. Key tactics include splitting contributions between traditional and Roth 401(k)/IRA accounts; considering Roths more, especially after Secure 2.0 makes certain catch-up contributions Roth-only and because Roths are advantageous for heirs under the 10-year distribution rule; and using 529 plans and HSAs creatively as flexible, tax-advantaged investment vehicles (e.g., potential 529-to-Roth rollovers; treating HSAs as long-term, tax-deferred accounts if you can pay current medical costs out of pocket). The core message: build optionality across account types to mitigate future tax and market risks.
Entities: Roth IRA, Traditional 401(k), Secure 2.0, 529 plans, Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)Tone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform