19-08-2025

Diverging Views on Arctic Geopolitics

Date: 19-08-2025
Sources: economist.com: 3
Image for cluster 4
Image Prompt:

An icy Arctic landscape with a subtle hint of geopolitical tension

Summary

A series of essays marking the Svalbard Treaty's centenary presents varied views on the Arctic's future, with some experts warning of potential conflict and others arguing that confrontation is not inevitable.

Key Points

  • The Arctic region is becoming a focal point for great power competition
  • Experts hold differing views on the likelihood of conflict in the Arctic
  • The Svalbard Treaty's centenary has prompted a series of essays with diverse perspectives

Articles in this Cluster

Confrontation in the Arctic is not inevitable, argues Kieran Mulvaney

Kieran Mulvaney argues in his essay that confrontation in the Arctic is not inevitable. He suggests that major players in the region should not view every move by their adversaries as a threat. The essay is part of a series published by The Economist to mark the centenary of the Svalbard Treaty coming into force. Other contributors to this series include John Bolton and Mikhail Komin, who present differing views on the geopolitical situation in the Arctic. Mulvaney's argument contrasts with those who see the Arctic as a potential flashpoint for conflict, particularly between NATO and Russia or China.
Entities: Arctic, Kieran Mulvaney, Svalbard Treaty, John Bolton, Mikhail KominTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Mikhail Komin on why the Arctic is Putin’s next front

Mikhail Komin, a political scientist, argues that the Arctic is becoming Putin's next front due to the Kremlin's insecurities, which are fuelling escalation in the region. The article is part of a series marking the centenary of the Svalbard Treaty. Komin's essay is accompanied by others from John Bolton and Kieran Mulvaney, offering diverse perspectives on Arctic geopolitics. The region's significance is highlighted against the backdrop of great power competition, with NATO's presence and the actions of Russia and China being key factors.
Entities: Arctic, Putin, Kremlin, Mikhail Komin, RussiaTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: analyze

The far north has become NATO’s soft underbelly, writes John Bolton

John Bolton argues that the far north has become NATO's vulnerable region due to increasing Chinese and Russian activities in the Arctic. He makes the case for keeping Chinese influence out and Russian power in check in the region. The article is part of a series marking the centenary of the Svalbard Treaty.
Entities: NATO, John Bolton, China, Russia, ArcticTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: persuade