11-07-2025

Tariff Turmoil Reshapes Markets and Politics

Date: 11-07-2025
Sources: cnbc.com: 4 | edition.cnn.com: 1 | nytimes.com: 1
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Source: edition.cnn.com

Image content: The image shows a man wearing a black baseball cap and dark clothing, resting his fingers on his lips in a thoughtful pose. Behind him are blurred U.S. flags and a golden curtain, suggesting a formal or official setting.

Summary

A flurry of tariff threats and policy uncertainty is rippling across markets, industries, and politics. Donald Trump’s proposed steep tariffs—ranging from 35% on Canada to 50% on copper imports and up to 200% on pharmaceuticals—spurred asset volatility, U.S.-centric price dislocations (notably in copper), and corporate planning anxiety over supply chains, costs, and inflation. While U.S. equities notched records amid optimism that growth can outlast trade risks, debates intensified over Federal Reserve leadership and rate prospects, with Jamie Dimon warning of higher inflation odds and Europe’s waning competitiveness without deep market integration. Sector-specific narratives underscored this strain: analysts questioned Starbucks’ China valuation and watched Tesla’s localized success, while pharma braced for margin pressures and potential shortages under accelerated reshoring timelines. Politically, Elon Musk’s floated “America Party” highlights fractures in Trump’s coalition—particularly among business interests and some Hispanic voters—even as structural barriers make a durable third party unlikely.

Key Points

  • Trump’s sweeping tariff agenda drives market volatility, supply-chain stress, and inflation concerns across commodities and pharma.
  • Copper prices spiked in the U.S., creating a temporary arbitrage that analysts expect to narrow as inventories normalize.
  • U.S. stocks hit records despite tariff risks; Morgan Stanley sees a supportive macro backdrop while rate and Fed leadership uncertainties rise.
  • Jamie Dimon urges EU market integration, warning Europe is losing competitiveness and underestimating inflation/rate risks.
  • Political realignment stirs as Elon Musk teases a third party, exposing fractures in Trump’s coalition but facing high structural hurdles.

Articles in this Cluster

CNBC Daily Open: The battleground for Fed chair might have shifted

- Trump announced 35% tariffs on Canada; Ottawa vowed to defend its workers and businesses. - U.S. stocks hit fresh records, with Asia mostly higher; Singapore’s STI logged a fifth straight gain. - The White House accused Fed Chair Jerome Powell of mismanaging a costly Fed HQ renovation, potentially opening a new front for Trump to try to oust him. - Analysts question Starbucks’ $10 billion valuation for its China unit amid intense local competition. - Morgan Stanley Wealth Management touted a “new bull case,” saying economic factors are helping markets look past tariff fears. - Tesla sales in Norway surged, led by strong demand for the revamped Model Y due to price and features suited to local preferences.
Entities: Donald Trump, Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, Canada, White HouseTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Copper's Trump-fueled rally leaves experts divided on investment case

Trump’s announced 50% tariff on U.S. copper imports sparked a sharp, U.S.-centric price surge, widening the gap with global markets. Comex futures jumped after the news, while LME prices dipped then partially recovered. Analysts say U.S. buyers front-loaded imports, creating about 440,000 tons of excess inventory and a temporary premium that could take up to nine months to work down. Despite copper’s strategic importance and limited U.S. production capacity (building meaningful supply could take 20–30 years), Citi expects global prices to ease toward $8,800/ton and the U.S.-global arbitrage to shrink as inventories normalize and exporters seek partial tariff exemptions. Investors are split: Hamilton Capital Partners’ Alonso Munoz is avoiding copper near term due to volatility and policy risk, expecting eventual price softness toward $4.90–$5/lb despite strong long-term demand. Corestone Capital’s Will McDonough views copper as undervalued given its critical role in EVs, grids, and data centers, citing concentrated supply (notably in China). He’s bullish via futures, though he sees the recent spike as an overreaction and anticipates a short-term pullback before longer-term gains.
Entities: Donald Trump, U.S. copper tariffs, COMEX, London Metal Exchange (LME), CitiTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: analyze

Jamie Dimon has a blunt message for Europe: 'You're losing'

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned that Europe is “losing” competitiveness versus the U.S. and Asia, noting Europe’s share of U.S. GDP has fallen from about 90% to 65% over the past 10–15 years. He urged the EU to complete a true single market—harmonizing banking, disclosure, exchanges, transparency, and climate rules—to foster larger, globally competitive firms. Despite recent investor optimism on Europe, Dimon flagged major hurdles, including reforms and an uncertain EU-U.S. tariff deal. On the U.S., he said markets are complacent about new tariffs and inflation risks, estimating a 40–50% chance the Federal Reserve will need to raise rates versus market odds near 20%, and warned of potential economic deterioration ahead.
Entities: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, European Union, United States, Federal ReserveTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: warn

Trump 200% pharma tariffs threaten to push up drug prices, hit margins

President Trump signaled imminent industry-wide tariffs on pharmaceuticals of up to 200%, with a 12–18 month grace period. Analysts warn even with the delay, the tariffs would raise production costs, squeeze margins, disrupt supply chains, and likely lead to drug shortages and higher U.S. prices. Estimates suggest a 25% tariff alone could add nearly $51 billion annually to U.S. drug costs; a 100–200% tariff could be “potentially disastrous” for patients. UBS says 12–18 months is far too short to reshore manufacturing, which typically takes 4–5 years. Major pharma companies are monitoring the situation, maintaining U.S. investment plans, and seeking policy clarity, while hoping for carve-outs via trade deals (e.g., the recent U.S.-U.K. framework). Uncertainty ahead of the final Section 232 report is pressuring planning and could weigh on the sector and consumers.
Entities: Donald Trump, pharmaceutical tariffs, U.S. drug prices, UBS, Section 232 reportTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: warn

Musk’s ‘America Party’ and the evidence that Trump’s coalition is starting to fracture | CNN PoliticsClose icon

CNN analysis explores Elon Musk’s plan to fund an “America Party” and its potential to siphon support from Donald Trump as signs emerge that Trump’s coalition is fracturing. Political scientist John Kenneth White argues: - Musk’s top-down, billionaire-driven effort echoes Ross Perot’s appeal to voter dissatisfaction but faces steep structural barriers favoring the two major parties. - Americans often say they want a third option but rarely back one when it materializes. - Successful third-party surges historically come from bottom-up movements; Musk’s is the opposite and his erratic persona could undermine it. - Trump’s coalition shows strain: business interests oppose tariffs, and some Hispanic voters are recoiling from mass-deportation policies, creating openings for defections. - While Musk could inflict harm mainly by withholding GOP funding and peeling off disaffected voters, the durability of a Musk-led party is doubtful given his inconsistency and the entrenched two-party system.
Entities: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, America Party, John Kenneth White, Ross PerotTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: analyze

The New York Times News Quiz, July 11, 2024 - The New York Times

The New York Times’ July 11, 2024 News Quiz tests readers on major recent events: Trump threatening tariffs on 22 countries without quick trade deals; deadly flash flooding on Texas’s Guadalupe River; a U.S. measles resurgence to a three-decade high; a Supreme Court ruling allowing a significant Trump administration action; a strike by Philadelphia’s largest public union disrupting city services; Elon Musk floating a new political party; Netanyahu visiting the White House and touting a Trump prize nomination; deadly anti-corruption protests in Kenya; the release of a new Superman film directed by James Gunn; a final performance by a rock legend; and updated TSA screening rules. It ends by pointing readers to deeper coverage across science, world affairs, tech, and culture.
Entities: The New York Times, Donald Trump, U.S. Supreme Court, Elon Musk, Benjamin NetanyahuTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform