04-06-2025

Global Markets Rise Amid Growth Headwinds

Date: 04-06-2025
Sources: cbsnews.com: 1 | cnbc.com: 3
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Source: cbsnews.com

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Summary

Global financial markets advanced on tech-led momentum and political developments in Asia despite mounting macroeconomic headwinds. The OECD warned of a notable U.S. slowdown in 2025–2026 alongside an inflation spike driven by tariffs, with global growth easing to 2.9%. Australia’s economy remained subdued at 1.3% year-on-year growth amid weak demand, reduced public spending, and weather disruptions, bolstering expectations for further rate cuts after May’s easing. Asian equities rallied, led by South Korea following a presidential victory for opposition leader Lee Jae-myung, while European markets looked set to open higher, buoyed by Wall Street’s gains. Tariff tensions resurfaced as the EU readied countermeasures to U.S. metals duties, even as some European manufacturers could benefit from lower regional steel prices.

Key Points

  • OECD projects slower U.S. and global growth with higher U.S. inflation due to tariffs.
  • Australia’s weak 1.3% growth and soft demand support prospects for more RBA rate cuts.
  • Asian stocks rally on tech surge and South Korea’s political shift; Nvidia leads gains.
  • European markets set to open higher despite tariff tensions and potential EU countermeasures.
  • Tariff dynamics may pressure global prices while benefiting some European steel users.

Articles in this Cluster

OECD forecasts a sharp economic slowdown and higher inflation in the U.S., citing tariffs - CBS News

The OECD forecasts a sharp economic slowdown in the US, with GDP growth expected to decline to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, due to the impact of tariffs and uncertainty around economic policies. The organization also predicts that inflation will "spike in mid-2025" and reach 3.9% by the end of 2025, as tariffs are passed on to consumers in the form of higher costs. Global economic growth is also expected to slow to 2.9% in 2025 and remain there in 2026, down from 3.3% last year and 3.4% in 2023.

Australia's economic growth stays flat at 1.3% in the first quarter

Australia's economy grew 1.3% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter and lower than the estimated 1.5% growth in a Reuters poll. The growth was attributed to shrinking public spending and weakened consumer demand and exports, with extreme weather events also impacting domestic demand and exports. The Reserve Bank of Australia had slashed rates to 3.85% in May, and the latest GDP release may bolster the case for further monetary policy easing, with some economists predicting additional rate cuts in the coming months.

Asia markets today June 4 2025Stock Chart IconStock Chart IconStock Chart IconStock Chart Icon

Asia-Pacific markets rose on Wednesday following a tech-led rally on Wall Street, with Nvidia's nearly 3% gain driving its market cap past Microsoft's. South Korean stocks led the gains after opposition party leader Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election, with the Kospi index jumping 2.43% to its highest level since August last year. Other markets also advanced, including Japan's Nikkei 225, which climbed 0.82%, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200, which rose 0.77%. Mainland China's CSI 300 index moved up 0.52%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index added 0.72%. India's Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex also ticked higher. The US economic outlook remains uncertain due to tariffs, but a better-than-expected jobs report supported Wall Street's gains.

European markets on Weds June 4: Stoxx 600, FTSE 100, DAX, CAC 40

European markets are expected to open higher on Wednesday, with the FTSE 100 predicted to rise 6 points to 8,788, DAX up 56 points to 24,135, CAC 40 up 20 points to 7,780, and FTSE MIB up 60 points to 40,155. The gains come as Asia-Pacific markets advanced overnight, driven by a tech rally on Wall Street led by Nvidia, and South Korean markets rose after opposition party leader Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election. US tariffs are in focus after President Donald Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel imports, prompting criticism from the European Union, which said it is "prepared to impose countermeasures." Despite this, analysts believe European steel buyers and manufacturers could benefit from the higher metals tariffs as they may put downward pressure on steel prices in the region. The day's economic data includes Spanish and Italian services purchasing managers' index data, and Poland's central bank is set to announce its latest monetary policy decision.