03-05-2025

US-China Trade Tensions Reshape Global Economy

Date: 03-05-2025
Sources: cbsnews.com: 2 | economist.com: 3 | edition.cnn.com: 5 | foxnews.com: 1 | scmp.com: 2
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Source: edition.cnn.com

Image content: The image shows an auto show display featuring a bright blue electric sports car on stage. Text on the screen reads “China-made EV sports car rivals Porsche,” with a location tag “Shanghai, China – April 23,” and a presenter stands beside the car under bright lights.

Summary

A mounting US-China trade confrontation is rippling through global supply chains, markets, and geopolitics. Escalating US tariffs—aimed at curbing China’s industrial ascent—are denting American orders for Chinese goods and pressuring platforms like Temu to reroute logistics, while raising costs for US consumers and businesses. China retains leverage via dominant positions in EVs, batteries, solar, and critical upstream inputs, and can redirect trade or rely on its vast domestic market, as showcased at Auto Shanghai. Washington is scrambling to diversify supply chains through a minerals pact with Ukraine, though war and underdeveloped reserves complicate near-term supply. Economists warn these frictions could trigger a near-term economic shock in the US, even as both sides signal conditional openness to tariff talks. Meanwhile, regional diplomacy, including strains with Vietnam, reflects how the dispute is reshaping alliances and economic strategies beyond the two superpowers.

Key Points

  • US tariffs are cutting US-bound Chinese orders and lifting costs, with platforms adapting logistics to avoid duties without reshoring production.
  • China holds advantages via EV and clean-tech leadership, control of key inputs, trade rerouting, and fewer domestic political constraints.
  • The US-Ukraine minerals deal seeks non-China sources for critical materials but faces feasibility and timing hurdles.
  • Analysts warn of a potential US economic shock from falling US-China trade, tighter financial conditions, and supply-chain strain.
  • Both Washington and Beijing hint at tariff talks, but mutual distrust keeps risks elevated and alliances in flux.

Articles in this Cluster

Are Trump's tariffs just punishing China for being good at what it does? - CBS News

At China’s massive Canton Fair, exporters say U.S. tariffs are sharply cutting American orders and hurting businesses built on low-cost, high-volume manufacturing. Gift-bag maker Richard Qiu, whose U.S. customers once comprised up to 40% of sales, says 90% of his U.S. orders are now canceled after tariffs as high as 145%, arguing the U.S. is punishing China for being efficient and affordable. American buyers at the fair are scarce, though some expect tariffs to eventually ease because China remains unmatched for price and variety. As Chinese firms look to diversify to Europe, many brace for prolonged pain, framing the trade dispute as a “war” in which ordinary people on both sides suffer.
Entities: Donald Trump, U.S. tariffs, China, Canton Fair, Richard QiuTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: analyze

What to know about the U.S.-Ukraine minerals deal, from the type of rare earths to deposits - CBS News

The U.S. and Ukraine announced an equal-partnership investment deal granting U.S. access to Ukrainian minerals, oil, and gas in exchange for financial or military support; Ukraine will share 50% of royalties from new licenses. The pact targets 55 minerals (expandable), including rare earth elements and critical materials like titanium, lithium, uranium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, and gallium. It aims to diversify U.S. supply chains amid China’s export restrictions and dominance in critical minerals. Ukraine has significant but underdeveloped reserves—about 5% of global mineral reserves—though many estimates rely on outdated data, and war and policy hurdles limit viability. Despite challenges, Ukraine’s workforce and metallurgical capacity could make it a nearer-term alternative to sources like Greenland, with strategic implications for defense and high-tech industries.
Entities: United States, Ukraine, rare earth elements, critical minerals, ChinaTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

America may be just weeks away from a mighty economic shock

The article warns that the U.S. economy may soon face a sharp shock driven by escalating trade tensions and declining commerce with China. As tariffs and restrictions intensify, trade volumes are already falling, threatening supply chains, corporate earnings, and investment. The piece argues that China currently holds leverage in the trade dispute, increasing the risk of a broader slowdown. It cautions that the cumulative impact—tighter financial conditions, weaker exports, and heightened uncertainty—could materialize within weeks, pressuring growth and markets even if a truce remains possible.
Entities: U.S. economy, China, trade tensions, tariffs, supply chainsTone: urgentSentiment: negativeIntent: warn

Finance & economics | Latest news and analysis from The Economist

The Economist’s Finance & economics section features analyses on current global economic issues: it challenges claims that imports dragged down US GDP, argues economists should appreciate alcohol’s social and market roles, and examines how private assets are opening to retail investors. It covers consolidation in Italian finance, China’s advantage in its trade war with America, and how mortgages reshape household portfolios. Other pieces warn of a looming US economic shock as US-China trade slumps, note Russia’s slowing economy, criticize weakening statistical capacity behind economic uncertainty, discuss Asia’s self-imposed trade frictions, and argue a proposed US sovereign-wealth fund would raise risk without boosting wealth. A lighter item estimates students value “cool” texting features at $31/month.
Entities: The Economist, United States GDP, China–US trade war, Italian finance consolidation, Russia’s economyTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Why China has the upper hand in its trade war with America

The article argues China currently holds strategic advantages in its trade war with America. Beijing’s economy and policymaking allow it to absorb and redirect trade shocks more nimbly, while U.S. tariffs have not curbed China’s export machine as intended. China can leverage its dominant positions in key supply chains (notably EVs, batteries, solar, and upstream inputs), reroute trade via third countries, and deploy targeted retaliation with fewer domestic political constraints. Meanwhile, U.S. measures risk higher consumer prices, supply bottlenecks, and blowback to American firms exposed to China. Despite rising tensions, a truce remains possible—but neither side wants to make the first conciliatory move, leaving the global economy stuck in a precarious “eye of the storm.”
Entities: China, United States, Beijing, EVs, batteriesTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: analyze

Are these China-made vehicles the future? | CNN Business

At Auto Shanghai 2025, Chinese automakers—spotlit by President Trump’s new tariffs—unveiled hyped electric and smart vehicles that are rapidly outpacing Western rivals in innovation and speed to market. CNN highlights models from companies like BYD that showcase advanced tech, competitive pricing, and design aimed at global expansion, underscoring China’s growing dominance in the future of EVs despite rising trade barriers.
Entities: Auto Shanghai 2025, Chinese automakers, President Trump, BYD, CNN BusinessTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

China-made EV sports car rivals Porsche | CNN Business

BYD unveiled the Denza Z, a premium China-made electric sports car positioned to compete with Porsche and Mercedes-Benz, debuting at Auto Shanghai, the country’s largest auto show. CNN’s report highlights the model as a showcase of China’s advancing EV capabilities and its push into the high-end performance segment.
Entities: BYD, Denza Z, Porsche, Mercedes-Benz, Auto ShanghaiTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Temu says it’s only shipping within the US. That doesn’t mean the products are made here | CNN BusinessClose icon

Temu says all U.S. orders are now fulfilled by U.S.-based sellers from local warehouses after a key tariff exemption expired, but most products are still made in China. The shift aims to avoid new tariffs and inspection delays by bulk-importing goods to U.S. warehouses, a strategy also used by Shein. As inventories run down, Temu may face stockouts, higher costs, and rising prices; users already report many items unavailable and minimums for “local” orders. The change undercuts the idea that shipping from the U.S. equals U.S.-made, highlighting how platforms adapt to tariff policy without reshoring manufacturing.
Entities: Temu, Shein, United States, China, tariff exemptionTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Trump shrugs off recession fears, saying a downturn would be OK in the long term | CNN BusinessClose icon

President Trump downplayed recession fears in an NBC interview, saying a short-term downturn would be acceptable if it leads to long-term gains, calling the current period a “transition.” His sweeping and shifting tariffs—especially on China—have coincided with a weaker economy, including a -0.3% annualized GDP reading in Q1, the worst since 2022, amid slower consumer spending and business stockpiling. Trump and senior officials have acknowledged tariffs could raise prices and even trigger a recession, which some in the administration argue could be “worth it” to revive U.S. manufacturing. Economists note it’s too early to declare a recession, which requires a broad, sustained decline. The remarks came ahead of a full “Meet the Press” interview airing Sunday.
Entities: Donald Trump, NBC, Meet the Press, China, U.S. manufacturingTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Why China doesn’t need the US auto market | CNN Business

China’s domestic auto industry is now strong enough that it doesn’t need access to the US market. At Auto Shanghai, dozens of Chinese brands showcased vehicles that rival Western offerings, with BYD surpassing Tesla’s profits and fast-rising players like Zeekr, Xiaomi, and Chery expanding rapidly. A test drive of Zeekr’s new 7GT highlighted the sophistication of China’s EVs, underscoring how the country’s vast home market and competitive ecosystem can sustain growth without US sales.
Entities: China, US auto market, BYD, Tesla, ZeekrTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: analyze

China considers US tariff talks as trade war tensions simmer between nations | Fox News

China signaled it is evaluating a U.S. offer to hold talks on tariffs, suggesting a possible opening to deescalate the ongoing trade war. Beijing warned it won’t accept coercive or unfavorable terms. The shift follows China’s recent waivers on some U.S. goods, including ethane, amid steep new tariffs imposed by both sides (U.S. at 145% on Chinese imports; China at 125% on U.S. goods). U.S. officials expressed confidence a phased deescalation could lead to a broader deal. The move contrasts with China’s recent UN criticism of U.S. “bullying” via tariffs, highlighting continued tensions despite the potential for dialogue.
Entities: China, United States, tariffs, trade war, BeijingTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Chinese ambassador Xie Feng says Beijing does not want to fight but will not be ‘intimidated’ | South China Morning Post

Chinese Ambassador to the US Xie Feng criticized American tariffs as harmful to global growth and said China did not start the tariff war. Speaking at the embassy’s open day in Washington, he emphasized China’s willingness to engage in dialogue based on equality, reciprocity, and mutual respect, asserting that Beijing won’t be intimidated. His remarks came amid a stalled trade relationship, with the US claiming talks are underway and China denying formal negotiations until recently, when Beijing acknowledged considering talks after repeated US overtures.
Entities: Xie Feng, Beijing, United States, tariffs, trade negotiationsTone: analyticalSentiment: neutralIntent: inform

Vietnam’s wary friendship with US shows signs of strain again, 50 years after war’s end | South China Morning Post

Vietnam’s 50th reunification celebration in Ho Chi Minh City showcased its growing economic and diplomatic clout, drawing global dignitaries but only minimal U.S. representation—the U.S. Consul General, after late easing of attendance limits. The low-key turnout, alongside Washington’s suspension of Vietnam War-era aid programs and threats of new tariffs, contrasts with closer recent engagement between Hanoi and Beijing, including Xi Jinping’s visit. The episode underscores renewed strain in U.S.-Vietnam ties despite years of deepening cooperation, with observers warning it risks undermining hard-won goodwill.
Entities: Vietnam, United States, Ho Chi Minh City, Hanoi, BeijingTone: analyticalSentiment: negativeIntent: analyze